SOARING FORECAST MAY 6 to 9, 2011

CURRENT SOARING FORECAST FOR SCSA (CRYSTALAIRE – 46CN) MAY 6 to 9, 2011

Our persistent hot high pressure and offshore trend of last week will slowly break down this weekend with the arrival of a low pressure system from the west pushing it eastward. We will still have hot weather here but cooler each day. Our wind will change and come from the west throughout the period at times gusty. The thermal velocity and height of lift forecasts look very good throughout this period. The skew-t chart forecast for Friday also looks quite good. See below. I am predicting a classic soaring weekend at Crystal with easy thermals and the ability to easily stay aloft. Come on out and have a great time!



FRIDAY, Dr. Jacks’ predictions are forecasting 500 FPM of lift at the field to 10,000 feet.
SATURDAY, Dr. Jack’s predictions indicate 550 FPM of lift to 10,000 feet.



FRIDAY: SKEW-T FORECAST, 1400 HRS.



SATURDAY: THERMAL UPDRAFT HEIGHT FORECAST 1400 HRS.






The National Weather Service is predicting the following local surface conditions for Friday through Monday:


FRIDAY:
Sunny. Temperature: 88 degrees.
Wind: Southwest 10-20 mph.


SATURDAY:
Sunny. Temperature: 79 degrees
Wind: Southwest 10-20 mph.


SUNDAY
Sunny, Temperature: 74 degrees
Wind: Southwest 10-20 mph.


MONDAY:
Sunny, Temperature: 67 degrees
Wind: Southwest 10-20 mph.