SOARING FORECAST, NOVEMBER 4 TO 7, 2011

WEEKEND SOARING FORECAST, NOVEMBER 4 TO 7, 2011

A brief, fast moving cold front arriving Thursday night will depart our area Friday leaving sunny clear skies in its wake. Although rain is likely in the coastal areas we expect only a slim chance of precipitation in our high desert area on Friday. Saturday onwards will be sunny and clear with good soaring conditions.

Despite the frontal weather, the National Weather Service data points to good thermal activity to over 10,000 feet at the field Friday. I expect there will be clouds among our mountains and east of us but our high desert and points north should be sunny.

Saturday onwards the forecast for thermal activity points to 350 feet per minute of lift to over 9,000 feet.

At the writing of this report – Thursday – we have stunning pre-frontal wave conditions aloft that have persisted all day and into the evening with stretches of stacked lenticular clouds and the occasional Hemholtz waves making appearances.



FRIDAY HEIGHT OF LIFT FORECAST 1400 HOURS





SATURDAY SKEW-T FORECAST 1400 HOURS




The National Weather Service is predicting the following local surface conditions for Friday through Monday:

FRIDAY:
Sun With Clouds. Slight chance of rain. Temperature: 52 degrees
Wind: Southwest. 5 to 15 mph. At times gusty.

SATURDAY:
Sunny. Temperature: 55 degrees
Wind: West. 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY
Sunny with clouds, Temperature: 54 degrees
Wind: Southwest 10 TO 15 mph.

MONDAY:
Sunny, Temperature: 55 degrees
Wind: Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Becoming Northeast.