WEEKEND SOARING FORECAST, AUGUST 19 THROUGH 22, 2011

WEEKEND SOARING FORECAST, AUGUST 19 THROUGH 22, 2011

High pressure centered over New Mexico will push the marine influence away and keep the temps near the triple digits in our soaring area Friday and Saturday. We’ll have a brief respite Sunday with the westerly influence returning with moister buoyant air flowing into our area and the temps a few degrees cooler. Monday hot dry air will return from the east.

Hot high pressure from the east usually indicates a change in strategy for finding decent lift at SCSA. This summer the frequency of high pressure has been unusually high. Often lift develops later in the day due to an inversion that slowly dissipates by the afternoon. Lift may or may not develop from our local ridges and stronger lift might occur to the north, east or other areas.
This weekend should produce strong lift to over 10,000 feet for those who find it.

Dr. Jacks Soaring Predictions indicate we will have lift of 600 feet per minute to 11,000 feet both Friday and Saturday.



FRIDAY – VELOCITY OF LIFT FORECAST 1400 HRS



FRIDAY – SKEW-T FORECAST 1400 HRS




The National Weather Service is predicting the following local surface conditions for Friday through Monday:


FRIDAY:
Sunny and HOT. Temperature: 99 degrees
Wind: Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Calm then gusty afternoon.

SATURDAY:
Sunny. Temperature: 95 degrees
Wind: East 5 – 10 mph. becoming West.


SUNDAY
Sunny, Temperature: 93 degrees
Wind: Southwest 10 – 15 mph.


MONDAY:
Sunny and Hot, Temperature: 98 degrees
Wind: Southwest 10 mph.