WEEKEND SOARING FORECAST, AUGUST 26 THROUGH 29, 2011

WEEKEND SOARING FORECAST, AUGUST 26 THROUGH 29, 2011

High pressure from the east (apparently being our new norm) will dominate the weather picture. Expect this weekend to have high humidity spin up from the southeast to combine with record high temps for some classic excellent lift marked by cumulus with the chance of overdevelopment in the afternoon. Friday’s Skew-T forecast indicates a very high temperature dewpoint trigger and the chance of some overcast development and lower level cumulus over a wide area (see plot below).

Saturday the forecast points to a bit less atmospheric moisture with lower chance of high level clouds and marvelous thermal activity to high altitudes. Still a lot of potential for afternoon over-development though so be on the lookout for T-storms.

In summary, the high temps and thermal activity forecast indicate we’ll have boomer lift to over 14,000 feet over a wide ranging area without the nagging inversion layers we’ve been experiencing the last few weeks. Some of this seasons best soaring is in store.

FANTASTIC SOARING WEATHER! * * RIG YOUR O2 SYSTEM * *

Dr. Jacks Soaring Predictions indicate we will have lift of 700 feet per minute to 14,000 feet both Friday and Saturday at the field.



FRIDAY – SKEW-T FORECAST 1400 HRS



SATURDAY – THERMAL VELOCITY FORECAST 1400 HRS




SATURDAY – SKEW-T FORECAST 1400 HRS




The National Weather Service is predicting the following local surface conditions for Friday through Monday:


FRIDAY: –NOTE; Chance of Overdevelopment
Sunny and Hot. Temperature: 101 degrees
Wind: Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Calm then gusty afternoon.

SATURDAY: –NOTE; Chance of Overdevelopment
Sunny and Hot. Temperature: 100 degrees
Wind: Southwest 5 – 10 mph. Becoming 15 – 20 later. Gusty.

SUNDAY
Sunny, Temperature: 93 degrees
Wind: Southwest 10 – 15 mph.

MONDAY:
Sunny and Hot, Temperature: 98 degrees
Wind: Southwest 10 mph.